Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 1.765541 2.036251 2.334118 2.686133 3.090769 3.541351 4.081249
2025-05-04 1.439986 1.807355 2.246098 2.808537 3.510475 4.357854 5.459149
2025-05-11 1.183483 1.598106 2.129597 2.860500 3.839703 5.106881 6.873028
2025-05-18 0.957629 1.379780 1.955937 2.799121 4.001864 5.656890 8.110539
2025-05-25 0.769598 1.175358 1.761186 2.667716 4.035545 6.024037 9.139492
2025-06-01 0.657012 1.057795 1.666672 2.657681 4.230909 6.634374 10.592618
2025-06-08 0.559309 0.945246 1.559638 2.607084 4.349221 7.134555 11.936213
2025-06-15 0.518528 0.916316 1.577393 2.753505 4.795169 8.198463 14.316656
2025-06-22 0.466900 0.860305 1.540948 2.801160 5.078142 9.024607 16.402730
2025-06-29 0.412048 0.789782 1.468591 2.773581 5.222065 9.624428 18.164010
2025-07-06 0.352058 0.700612 1.350008 2.643916 5.160164 9.844830 19.255784
2025-07-13 0.330841 0.682014 1.358833 2.753417 5.558114 10.953161 22.152594
2025-07-20 0.313077 0.669245 1.380037 2.896072 6.052157 12.330256 25.809341
2025-07-27 0.290380 0.643107 1.371370 2.977865 6.436749 13.545711 29.317709
2025-08-03 0.265074 0.607606 1.338546 3.004512 6.710472 14.572334 32.578232
2025-08-10 0.234068 0.554807 1.261574 2.924482 6.742928 15.096571 34.828995
2025-08-17 0.202378 0.495528 1.161916 2.778885 6.607747 15.237417 36.240433
2025-08-24 0.183850 0.464411 1.121509 2.763751 6.768730 16.056591 39.318104
2025-08-31 0.164977 0.429581 1.067567 2.708560 6.826814 16.645920 41.931841
2025-09-07 0.160121 0.429170 1.096077 2.859092 7.405921 18.536719 47.969411
2025-09-14 0.149959 0.413513 1.084784 2.907674 7.736386 19.866964 52.786486
2025-09-21 0.136925 0.388247 1.045645 2.878561 7.862866 20.705750 56.455760
2025-09-28 0.120504 0.351219 0.970790 2.743759 7.691367 20.762146 58.069579